Premier UFC handicapping

"Math is never just numbers. In the wrong hands, it's a weapon. In the right hands, deliverance."

Hari Seldon, Professor of Probabilistic Analysis, Foundation

What we do

Data-driven UFC wagering

We play numbers, not fighters

Specialising in distance proposition bets

Informed by economics and long-term forecasting

Combining edge and discipline to beat the bookie

Guiding principles

Bet like an economist and avoid the human pitfalls of gambling

For long-term sustainable growth, pure mathematical models outperform human intuition every time

The law of large numbers and modern probability theory drive our predictions


Subscribe to enjoy the following:

  1. Receive our weekly UFC bets for props 'Fight goes the distance' and 'Fight doesn't go the distance'

  2. You will also receive our calculated probabilities for each distance prop. We provide the predicted % likelihood of each outcome for every upcoming UFC fight. For example:

Volkanovski vs Ortega

Goes the distance: 70%

Doesn't go the distance: 30%

Note: Bets and percentages are sent via email by Thursday evening before the next event.

Bets are sent to subscribers just after they are locked-in at our account (so you have the best chance of finding similar odds)


Starting with $10,000 at Fight Night 166 (25 January 2020), using a proportional staking method (where 1 unit is 1% of our bank, adjusted weekly), our balance is:


(at 16 January 2022)

Bets independently verified at

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“Gambling is not a vice, it is an expression of our humanness. We gamble. Some do it at the gaming table, some don't. You play, you win, you play, you lose. You play.”Jeanette Winterson