'Math is never just numbers. In the wrong hands, it's a weapon. In the right hands, deliverance.'

Hari Seldon, Professor of Probabilistic Analysis, Foundation

What we do

Data-driven UFC wagering

We play numbers, not fighters

Specialising in distance proposition bets

Informed by mathematical models and long-term forecasting

Combining edge and discipline to beat the bookie

Guiding principles

We bet like an economist and avoid the human pitfalls of gambling

For long-term sustainable growth, mathematical models outperform human intuition every time

The law of large numbers and modern probability theory drive our predictions

About PredictionsUFC.com

Welcome to Predictions UFC. Here we apply our skills in financial analysis, modelling and long-term forecasting. We tackle the chaos of fighting with mathematical tools powered by big data. With large numbers we identify trends and patterns to make predictions. We calculate the real-world probability of an outcome, then search for value in the odds on offer.

Our approach is consistent, patient, and disciplined. Our analysis gives us an edge over the bookie, of which we take full advantage with a precise staking method.

For years we have profited from bets derived from mathematical theory delivered with a methodical betting strategy.

Since 2020, our betting tips and results have been independently verified by third-party tracking at BetMMA.tips

Mathematical method

Prediction in UFC is rarely successful. Tapology picks with 80% consensus and above are wrong almost every week. The crowd does not carry wisdom in this sport. Sizeable underdogs win at every UFC event.

The only method we have found to profit here is using pure mathematics. With the availability of endless fighter data, the UFC especially lends itself to predictive mathematical analysis.

Our calculated outcomes remove the uncertainty of human intuition and take full advantage of well-established patterns.

Advanced mathematical analysis and method, when combined with accurate historical odds data, is the secret of our success.

Follow us here or subscribe below for a share of the action!

See RESULTS here


Subscribe to enjoy the following:

  1. Receive our weekly UFC bets for props 'Fight goes the distance' and 'Fight doesn't go the distance'

  2. You will also receive our calculated probabilities for each distance prop. We provide the predicted % likelihood of each outcome for every upcoming UFC fight. For example:

Volkanovski vs Ortega

Goes the distance: 70%

Doesn't go the distance: 30%

Note: Bets and percentages are sent via email by Friday evening before the next event.

Bets are sent to subscribers just after they are locked-in at our BetMMA.tips account (so you have the best chance of finding similar odds)