'Math is never just numbers. In the wrong hands, it's a weapon. In the right hands, deliverance.'
Hari Seldon, Professor of Probabilistic Analysis, Foundation
What we do
Data-driven UFC wagering
We play numbers, not fighters
Specialising in distance proposition bets
Informed by mathematical models and long-term forecasting
Combining edge and discipline to beat the bookie
We bet like an economist and avoid the human pitfalls of gambling
For long-term sustainable growth, mathematical models outperform human intuition every time
The law of large numbers and modern probability theory drive our predictions
Welcome to Predictions UFC. Here we apply our skills in financial analysis, modelling and long-term forecasting. We tackle the chaos of fighting with mathematical tools powered by big data. With large numbers we identify trends and patterns to make predictions. We calculate the real-world probability of an outcome, then search for value in the odds on offer.
Our approach is consistent, patient, and disciplined. Our analysis gives us an edge over the bookie, of which we take full advantage with a precise staking method.
For years we have profited from bets derived from mathematical theory delivered with a methodical betting strategy.
Since 2020, our betting tips and results have been independently verified by third-party tracking at BetMMA.tips
Prediction in UFC is rarely successful. Tapology picks with 80% consensus and above are wrong almost every week. The crowd does not carry wisdom in this sport. Sizeable underdogs win at every UFC event.
The only method we have found to profit here is using pure mathematics. With the availability of endless fighter data, the UFC especially lends itself to predictive mathematical analysis.
Our calculated outcomes remove the uncertainty of human intuition and take full advantage of well-established patterns.
Advanced mathematical analysis and method, when combined with accurate historical odds data, is the secret of our success.
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